Friday 21 June 2019

Investment Analysis and Portfolio Workout Example


·         Holding Period Return
HPR = (Income + (ending value – beginning value))/ beginning value
If interests rate high = ($75+ ($850 – $900)) / $900
                                      =2.7%
If interests rate unchanged = ($75+ ($915 – $900)) / $900
                                      =10%%
If interests rate high = ($75+ ($985 – $900)) / $900
                                      =17.7%
·         Expected Rate of Return
Expected rate of return = summation of  (Probability of rate of return * rate of return)
                               = (0.2*0.027) + (0.5*0.1) + (0.3* 0.177)
                               =10.85%

·         Risk Premium of investment
Risk premium = Investment return – risk free return (rate of bond)
                          = 10.85%- 5%
                          =5.85%
·         Expected year value of investment
If $900 per 1000par value
Therefore $ 27,000 = 30000 par value
If 1000 par value gives interest of $75
Therefore 30000 par value =  $ 2250 as interest
Future value = $30,000 + 2250
                        = $ 32250
                       
Coupon rate = 75/1000
                        =7.5%
Present value of bond = present value of interest + present value of principal payment
Face value = (interest / (1 + r)^t)) + face value/ (1 + r)^t))

                    =$2250/ (1 + 0.075)^1+ $30,000 (1+0.075)^1
                      =$2093 + 27906.98
                      = $ 29999.98 which is approximately $30,0000
2.
IF 100% = $ 2,000,000
      -38% =  -$760,000
Thus at start of 2009, stock value = $2,000,000- $760,000
                                                      =$ 1,240,000
If $1,240,000 = 100%
$2,000,000 = 161.29%
 Thus the rate of return has to be 161.29% - 100%
                                                     = 61.29%



References

Brennan, M., & ES Schwartz. (1977). Convertible bonds: Valuation and optimal strategies. The Journal of Finance, 32(5), 1699-1715. Retrieved from www.anderson.ucla.edu/faculty/eduardo.schwartz/articles/6.pdf
Defond, M., & Jiambalvo, J. (1994). Debt Covenat Violation and mnipulation of accruals. Journal of accounting and economics, 17(1-2), 117-161.



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